For more than thirty years, I have been carrying out risk assessments on a variety of issues.
The global risk assessments have proved to be an important basis for planning, provision, and security.
The methods of forecasting and evaluation are determined with a complex methodology that includes long-term, medium-term, and short-term trends and makes risk groups identifiable and localizable.
The analysis is based on the fractal analysis of cycles of different processes.
The known activities and fluctuations of, e.g. sunspot cycles can be correlated with manifold effects. They can be observed regularly and form complex cycles.
For this purpose, other cyclical processes, which do not show up in a simple observation, become visible on other levels with our spectral analyses and transformations. The processes are reflected in the temporal and spatial changes on the earth’s surface.
However, much more is needed to describe fluctuations in the temporal event density.
Years of research have resulted in models that form the basis of our fundamental analysis.
They are concretized with assessments from other disciplines on the changes in climatic, geological, social, and political processes.
The temporal and physical interactions are also correlated with economic, social, and political change. Thus, it is possible to calculate event times for the risk areas and to approximate the temporal probability of the maximum occurrence.
They can thus be used as a basis for planning and prevention.
Of course, it must also be possible to measure and verify our predictions and risk assessments with regard to the probability of occurrence.
I will publish the results for the first time from 2023 onwards in order to make them available to the public as well as to our existing clients.